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Politics

US military action against Cuba by...?

0 forecasts 0 points committed

Probability timeline

Point-stake probability across every child poll.

YES probability
Range
December 31, 2026?Resolves Dec 3150%
−7d−3.5dNow

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December 31, 2026?Resolves Dec 31
Market context

US military action against Cuba by... is still developing. Associated Press recently reported “Iran leaders show a united front over the war”, while Associated Press maintains Iran leaders show a united front over the war. Those developments frame the current competitive or public backdrop without determining the eventual result.

Resolution rules

The poll resolves YES only when its stated proposition is confirmed by the authoritative record within the period defined by the group title and expected close; otherwise it resolves NO when that period ends. Associated Press and U.S. Government Publishing Office are the authoritative external resolution sources; forecasts, displayed probabilities, and commentary do not settle a poll. If the authoritative release or event is delayed, the affected poll remains unresolved until the result is available, unless that poll's proposition defines a firm deadline; deadline-based polls are evaluated only on whether their condition occurred by that deadline. Formal corrections supersede earlier records. If authoritative sources conflict or remain materially ambiguous, the affected poll remains pending for review. The expected evaluation time is 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z UTC.

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