US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Probability timeline
Point-stake probability across every child poll.
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Market context
US announces end of Iranian blockade by... is still developing. Reuters via RealClearWorld recently reported “Reza Pahlavi on Iran's future”, while Reuters via RealClearWorld maintains Reza Pahlavi on Iran's future. Those developments frame the current competitive or public backdrop without determining the eventual result.
Resolution rules
The poll resolves YES only when its stated proposition is confirmed by the authoritative record within the period defined by the group title and expected close; otherwise it resolves NO when that period ends. Reuters via RealClearWorld and Reuters via Investing.com are the authoritative external resolution sources; forecasts, displayed probabilities, and commentary do not settle a poll. If the authoritative release or event is delayed, the affected poll remains unresolved until the result is available, unless that poll's proposition defines a firm deadline; deadline-based polls are evaluated only on whether their condition occurred by that deadline. Formal corrections supersede earlier records. If authoritative sources conflict or remain materially ambiguous, the affected poll remains pending for review. The expected evaluation time is 2026-12-31T23:59:00.000Z UTC.
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