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SEALSQ-WISeKey QSOC first satellite launches in

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Probability timeline

Point-stake probability across every child poll.

YES probability
Range
Q4 2026?Resolves Dec 3150%
−7d−3.5dNow

Make your call

Choose YES or NO for any open poll.

Q4 2026?Resolves Dec 31
Market context

A June 12, 2026 SEALSQ announcement states that the first satellite dedicated to QSOC architecture is scheduled for launch aboard a SpaceX mission in Q4 2026.

Resolution rules

Resolve YES if SEALSQ, WISeKey, SpaceX, or an authoritative launch record confirms that the first satellite dedicated to the Quantum Spatial Orbital Cloud launched during the fourth quarter of calendar year 2026. Resolve NO if no such launch occurred by 23:59:59 UTC on December 31, 2026, or if an authoritative record confirms the launch occurred outside Q4 2026. A launch means liftoff, not a scheduled date, payload processing, deployment plan, or press release. Use UTC for the deadline. If postponed or canceled, resolve NO unless the launch nevertheless occurred during Q4 2026. Later official corrections supersede earlier records. If authoritative sources do not clearly identify the first QSOC satellite or its launch date, resolve NO.

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