Back to feed
Politics

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

0 forecasts 0 points committed

Probability timeline

Point-stake probability across every child poll.

YES probability
Range
Iran?Resolves Sep 3050%No Meeting by September 30, 2026?Resolves Sep 3050%Austria?Resolves Sep 3050%UAE?Resolves Sep 3050%Iraq?Resolves Sep 3050%Other14 other polls50%
−7d−3.5dNow

Make your call

Choose YES or NO for any open poll.

Iran?Resolves Sep 30
No Meeting by September 30, 2026?Resolves Sep 30
Austria?Resolves Sep 30
UAE?Resolves Sep 30
Iraq?Resolves Sep 30
Other - Middle East/North Africa?Resolves Sep 30
Other - Europe?Resolves Sep 30
Other?Resolves Sep 30
Egypt?Resolves Sep 30
Kazakhstan?Resolves Sep 30
Pakistan?Resolves Sep 30
USA?Resolves Sep 30
Switzerland?Resolves Sep 30
Saudi Arabia?Resolves Sep 30
Russia?Resolves Sep 30
Oman?Resolves Sep 30
Turkey?Resolves Sep 30
Qatar?Resolves Sep 30
Italy?Resolves Sep 30
Market context

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be... is still developing. Associated Press recently reported “The latest on U.S.-Iran talks and a possible deal”, while Associated Press maintains The latest on U.S.-Iran talks and a possible deal. Those developments frame the current competitive or public backdrop without determining the eventual result.

Resolution rules

Each poll resolves independently against the final official record for Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be.... A poll resolves YES only when its exact proposition is confirmed and NO when the final record contradicts it. Associated Press and United Nations Department of Political and Peacebuilding Affairs are the authoritative external resolution sources; forecasts, displayed probabilities, and commentary do not settle a poll. If the authoritative release or event is delayed, the affected poll remains unresolved until the result is available, unless that poll's proposition defines a firm deadline; deadline-based polls are evaluated only on whether their condition occurred by that deadline. Formal corrections supersede earlier records. If authoritative sources conflict or remain materially ambiguous, the affected poll remains pending for review. The expected evaluation time is 2026-09-30T23:59:00.000Z UTC. The listed Other? poll is an actual binary poll. It resolves YES only when the official winner or categorical outcome is not named by another poll.

Discussion

Share the reasoning behind your call.

0 comments
Start the discussionShare the reasoning behind your call.