New pandemic in 2026?
Probability timeline
Point-stake probability across every child poll.
Make your call
Choose YES or NO for any open poll.
Market context
New pandemic in 2026 is still developing. Associated Press recently reported “2026 global heat and temperature reporting”, while NOAA Climate.gov maintains Climate change and global temperature. Those developments frame the current competitive or public backdrop without determining the eventual result.
Resolution rules
The poll resolves YES only when its stated proposition is confirmed by the authoritative record within the period defined by the group title and expected close; otherwise it resolves NO when that period ends. NOAA Climate.gov and Associated Press are the authoritative external resolution sources; forecasts, displayed probabilities, and commentary do not settle a poll. If the authoritative release or event is delayed, the affected poll remains unresolved until the result is available, unless that poll's proposition defines a firm deadline; deadline-based polls are evaluated only on whether their condition occurred by that deadline. Formal corrections supersede earlier records. If authoritative sources conflict or remain materially ambiguous, the affected poll remains pending for review. The expected evaluation time is 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z UTC.
Discussion
Share the reasoning behind your call.