Sports

Will the scheduled 2026 Formula 1 Grand Prix take place on

3 forecasts 876 points committed

Probability timeline

Point-stake probability across every child poll.

YES probability

Range

August 21–23, 2026Resolves Aug 23100%October 9–11, 2026Resolves Oct 1150%September 4–6, 2026Resolves Sep 650%September 24–26, 2026Resolves Sep 2650%September 11–13, 2026Resolves Sep 1350%

Make your call

Choose YES or NO for any open poll.

September 11–13, 2026Resolves Sep 13

September 24–26, 2026Resolves Sep 26

October 9–11, 2026Resolves Oct 11

Market context

Formula 1's official 2026 calendar lists a sequence of upcoming European and Asian Grands Prix after the July 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix.

Resolution rules

Resolve YES if the named Formula 1 Grand Prix race is conducted during its officially scheduled race weekend and is not cancelled. Resolve NO if the event is cancelled, abandoned without a classified race, or not held during the scheduled weekend. Use the official Formula1.com event page and FIA or Formula 1 race results as authoritative sources. A rescheduled race resolves according to whether it occurs during the date range stated in the child title; postponements outside that range resolve NO. Corrections to official schedules supersede earlier information. If the race is completed but its official classification is later corrected, the event remains YES. If the official record is ambiguous, use the final FIA classification and published Formula 1 results; unresolved ambiguity remains pending until clarified. Times are interpreted in the local timezone of the host venue, and each poll closes at 23:59 local time on the final date stated.